Week 1 (2-3)

Week 1 (2-3)

I felt good going into Week 1. There were a lot of dogs getting 7 points and teams in those situations have done well over the past decade. Here were my 5 picks: ​

• Bears +7

• Texans +7

• Jets + 7

• Eagles -4

• Rams +2.5

​ ​ Bears +7 I felt great at this spot especially with the weather in Chicago being shitty and rainy. San Fran was traveling across the country for a 1pm start and starting basically a rookie QB in Trey Lance who was getting his first real look as "the guy." Bears started off very slow, but rallied and ended up getting the victory straight up for an easy win here. ​ Texans +7 I liked this one a lot better when it was +8.5 for weeks leading up to Week 1. Circa Sports releases their lines on Thursday morning and by that point, the line had gone down to 7. I was still taking it. Colts are such a disappointment and being a road divisional favorite, I figured was a bad spot for them. Texans were my favorite play of the week and had their coach not took the coward's way, they could have won the game straight up. ​ Jets +7 When you play the percentages, you're bound to have one or two that fail. The Jets failed for me. Home underdogs of 7 or more as 5-2 ATS since 2013. 71.4%, well this is the one that failed. And I liked the fact that it was Flacco starting after Wilson was injured in preseason. Jets offense sputtered too long and this one was a loser. ​ Eagles -4 This one stings. I had to hear about how great the Lions offseason was for months. Then Hard Knocks happened and it was Dan Campbell for President and this team is soooooo improved. Blah blah blah. I knew I would be betting the Eagles for months. I felt really good that the Eagles were a TD better than the Lions and we'd see same old Lions again in Week 1. I was counting it as a win when the Eagles flew out to a 31-14 lead and then had a 38-21 lead. Two fourth quarter TDs during a fake comeback for the Lions when the Eagles took their foot off the gas and it ended up a loser. This game swung my what-would-have-been a good 3-2 week to 2-3, blah. ​ Rams +2.5 This was a miss. For about a month, I narrowed in on the Vikings and Falcons as my other pick. Last minute, I saw the amount of money bet on the Bills, how there was no way they were going to lose this game and I thought the SB champs were being valued here getting 2.5 at home. And I felt good at halftime when the score was 10-10, but we saw how good the Bills are when they're not turning it over. They rolled the Rams in the second half and this started me off 0-1 for the week. ​ Learned some things in Week 1, like stick to the plays I was looking at initially and ready to attack Week 2. ​ Week 1: 2-3 Season: 2-3